Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3571
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3571 · ICT → DFW
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 7:26 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 PM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.4d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from ICT are usually not late
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.26 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.