Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3628
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3628 · LIT → DFW
departs 9:06 AM CT · arrives 10:43 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 49%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 31%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±4 pts
+8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
27%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
52%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
21%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↓
9am departures from LIT are usually not late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.