Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3647
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3647 · ABI → DFW
departs 5:18 AM CT · arrives 6:20 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 26h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 9%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±7 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ABI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ABI that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from ABI are usually not late
Weather at each end
ABI (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.24 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.