Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3700
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3700 · DFW → MFE
departs 7:18 AM CT · arrives 8:53 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Fri 10/2 51%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 12%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.4d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at MFE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MFE?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.7 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↑
MFE is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into MFE at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.35 in
MFE (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 4,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 1.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.