Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3700
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3700 · MFE → DFW
departs 9:23 AM CT · arrives 11:10 AM CT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 PM ET · 61h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Thu 10/1 46%
Fri 10/2 35%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
+22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.5d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +22 pts in 24h
+22 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
0.5 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
MFE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MFE (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.69 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.20 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.