MQ 3713 · DFW → PIA

took off 9:42 PM CT · landed 11:05 PM CT (scheduled 9:04 PM CT → 11:02 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at PIA more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±2 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PIA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PIA

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

PIA (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility9 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3713 · DFW → PIA

Odds over time

How late did it get to PIA?