Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3727
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3727 · DFW → OKC
departs 6:34 PM CT · arrives 7:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 49h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 56%
Fri 10/2 45%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 19%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±2 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
6pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at OKC that day
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.