Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3748
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 3748 · PNS → DFW
departs 9:27 AM CT · arrives 11:40 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 68%
Fri 10/2 39%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±4 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PNS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.5 in of rain forecast at PNS that day
↓
PNS usually runs smoothly
↓
9am departures from PNS are usually not late
Weather at each end
PNS (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.51 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.