MQ 3784 · GPT → DFW

took off 5:43 AM CT · landed 6:56 AM CT (scheduled 5:38 AM CT → 7:33 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±1 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to DFW?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Other factors

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at GPT that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 5am departures from GPT are usually not late

Weather at each end

GPT (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip1.62 in

DFW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3784 · GPT → DFW

Odds over time

How late did it get to DFW?