Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3900
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3900 · DFW → LCH
departs 9:25 PM CT · arrives 10:47 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 20%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at LCH more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±4 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
16%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LCH more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Arrive at LCH more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to LCH?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at LCH that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
9pm departures from DFW are often late
↓
LCH usually runs smoothly
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
LCH (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 7.66667 mi Precip 0.50 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.