MQ 3926 · DFW → CLL

took off 10:36 AM CT · landed 11:16 AM CT (scheduled 9:16 AM CT → 10:20 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at CLL more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts −19 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to CLL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ CLL usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.23 in

CLL (destination) Gusts21 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip1.57 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3926 · DFW → CLL

Odds over time

How late did it get to CLL?