Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3942
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 3942 · SPS → DFW
departs 5:21 AM CT · arrives 6:19 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 PM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 12%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±1 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.3d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SPS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
80%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
5am departures from SPS are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
SPS usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SPS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.06 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.