MQ 3955 · ORD → MHK

took off 10:59 PM CT · landed 12:16 AM CT (scheduled 10:16 PM CT → 11:59 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h before departure

Arrive at MHK more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±1 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late did it get to MHK?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 10pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↓ Visibility down to 1.75 mi forecast at MHK that day

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MHK (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility1.75 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3955 · ORD → MHK

Odds over time

How late did it get to MHK?