MQ 3971 · DFW → TYR

departs 4:18 PM CT · arrives 5:16 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 9:00 AM ET · 8h before departure

Arrive at TYR more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to TYR?

On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at TYR that day

↓ TYR usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.30 in

TYR (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.28 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3971 · DFW → TYR

Odds over time

How late will it get to TYR?