Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4008
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4008 · LIT → DFW
departs 5:38 PM CT · arrives 7:14 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 6:00 AM ET · 37h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 64%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 44%
Mon 10/5 22%
Tue 10/6 15%
Wed 10/7 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±5 pts
+11 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
22%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.9d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
28%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.77 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.