MQ 4042 · OMA → ORD

took off 10:24 AM CT · landed 11:29 AM CT (scheduled 10:29 AM CT → 12:15 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↑ This flight has been late 17% of the time recently

↓ OMA usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at OMA

Weather at each end

OMA (origin) Gusts24 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4042 · OMA → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?