MQ 4052 · SPS → DFW

departs 2:32 PM CT · arrives 3:28 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 4:00 AM ET · 12h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
22%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at DFW that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ SPS usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SPS (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling1,300 ft Visibility9.66667 mi Precipnone

DFW (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.30 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4052 · SPS → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?