MQ 4058 · DFW → SAV

took off 10:14 AM CT · landed 1:11 PM ET (scheduled 8:56 AM CT → 12:37 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SAV?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 0.6 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into SAV at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

SAV (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.19 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4058 · DFW → SAV

Odds over time

How late did it get to SAV?