Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4063
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4063 · DFW → MSO
departs 8:06 PM CT · arrives 10:40 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 60%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 20%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at MSO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MSO?
On time or early
68%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSO
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.32 in
MSO (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.