Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4064
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
MQ 4064 · DFW → CAE
departs 8:00 PM CT · arrives 11:34 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 17%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±5 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
6%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
5.0d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at CAE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +16 pts in 24h
+16 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at CAE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to CAE?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 1,400 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CAE that day
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
CAE usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.52 in
CAE (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.30 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.