MQ 4077 · YHZ → ORD

took off 2:05 PM ADT · landed 3:16 PM CT (scheduled 2:22 PM ADT → 3:53 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 9h after departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts −8 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to ORD?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YHZ

↑ This route's recent record

↓ Other factors

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

Weather at each end

YHZ (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

ORD (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4077 · YHZ → ORD

Odds over time

How late did it get to ORD?