Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 4137
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
MQ 4137 · LBB → DFW
departs 8:53 AM CT · arrives 10:19 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 35h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 33%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 14%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±2 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.5d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
LBB is prone to delays
↓
Other factors
↓
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at LBB that day
Weather at each end
LBB (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.52 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.