MQ 4247 · DFW → GPT

took off 9:32 AM CT · landed 10:44 AM CT (scheduled 9:10 AM CT → 10:50 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 11:00 AM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at GPT more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to GPT?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Cloud base down to 667 ft, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at GPT that day

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Arrivals into GPT at that hour are usually not late

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.30 in

GPT (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility4 mi Precip1.27 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4247 · DFW → GPT

Odds over time

How late did it get to GPT?