MQ 4311 · DFW → SGF

took off 6:06 PM CT · landed 7:00 PM CT (scheduled 4:55 PM CT → 6:27 PM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SGF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 4pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SGF

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.27 in

SGF (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4311 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SGF?