MQ 4318 · DFW → CID

departs 3:35 PM CT · arrives 5:41 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 3h before departure

Arrive at CID more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to CID?

On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ CID usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at CID

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.45 in

CID (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4318 · DFW → CID

Odds over time

How late will it get to CID?