MQ 4328 · DFW → SGF

took off 10:39 AM CT · landed 11:33 AM CT (scheduled 9:36 AM CT → 11:07 AM CT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 11h after departure

Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts +14 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SGF?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
✓
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 9am departures from DFW are often late

↑ DFW is busy at that time

↓ SGF usually runs smoothly

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

SGF (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling4,900 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 4328 · DFW → SGF

Odds over time

How late did it get to SGF?