Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5066 LANDED 9:51 PM CT, ~4 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

OH 5066 · DFW → MGM

took off 8:32 PM CT · landed 9:51 PM CT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure

Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?

54% chance · ±0 pts +9 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MGM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts11 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.22 in

MGM (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility8 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5066 · DFW → MGM

Odds over time