OH 5102 · YQB → PHL

took off 2:02 PM EDT · landed 3:24 PM ET (scheduled 1:52 PM EDT → 3:52 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YQB

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

YQB (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

PHL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5102 · YQB → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?