OH 5129 · PVD → PHL

took off 2:58 PM ET · landed 3:51 PM ET (scheduled 2:54 PM ET → 4:22 PM ET)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

Not late chance · ±0 pts +10 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to PHL?

RESOLVED

On time or early
✓
15–30 min late
–
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↑ This flight has been late 28% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PVD

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PVD (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,200 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

PHL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5129 · PVD → PHL

Odds over time

How late did it get to PHL?