Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5185 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

OH 5185 · DFW → ECP

departs 9:40 AM CT · arrives 11:54 AM CT

Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 34h before departure

Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ECP?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ DFW is prone to delays

↑ Cloud base down to 1,300 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at ECP that day

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into ECP at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.52 in

ECP (destination) Gusts12 kt Ceiling4,400 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5185 · DFW → ECP

Odds over time

How late will it get to ECP?