OH 5190 · DFW → MGM

departs 3:50 PM CT · arrives 5:51 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 7:00 AM ET · 10h before departure

Arrive at MGM more than 15 minutes late?

52% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MGM?

On time or early
36%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
26%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at MGM

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ MGM usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility4 mi Precip0.23 in

MGM (destination) Gusts10 kt Ceiling6,167 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.13 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5190 · DFW → MGM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MGM?