OH 5273 · PHL → SAV

departs 8:00 PM ET · arrives 10:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at SAV more than 15 minutes late?

28% chance · ±0 pts +13 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to SAV?

On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 8pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.25 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at SAV that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling5,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

SAV (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.25 mi Precip0.33 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5273 · PHL → SAV

Odds over time

How late will it get to SAV?