OH 5299 · DFW → IAH

departs 5:21 PM CT · arrives 6:42 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 12:00 PM ET · 6h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

72% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
27%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
24%
1–2 hours late
15%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
4%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at IAH that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 5pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.38 in

IAH (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling3,300 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.26 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5299 · DFW → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?