OH 5367 · DTW → PHL

departs 7:25 PM ET · arrives 9:16 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 2:00 PM ET · 5h before departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
85%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from DTW are often late

↓ DTW usually runs smoothly

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at DTW

Weather at each end

DTW (origin) Gusts10 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility9 mi Precipnone

PHL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5367 · DTW → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?