Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
PSA · FLIGHT OH 5486SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
OH 5486 · MKE → PHL
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 9:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 PM ET · 36h before departure
Odds over time
Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?
7%chance · ±2 pts−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE AREModerate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
How late will it get to PHL?
On time or early
92%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
1%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.