Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5517 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

OH 5517 · DFW → HRL

departs 6:30 PM CT · arrives 8:12 PM CT

Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 36h before departure

Arrive at HRL more than 15 minutes late?

42% chance · ±7 pts +11 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HRL?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at HRL that day

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 6pm departures from DFW are often late

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ HRL usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts14 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.77 in

HRL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.76 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5517 · DFW → HRL

Odds over time

How late will it get to HRL?