OH 5559 · DFW → ROA

departs 7:07 PM CT · arrives 11:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Sat 1:00 PM ET · 7h before departure

Arrive at ROA more than 15 minutes late?

56% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ROA?

On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
32%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 7pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ This flight has been late 38% of the time recently

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.38 in

ROA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility1.75 mi Precip0.92 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5559 · DFW → ROA

Odds over time

How late will it get to ROA?