Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5586 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow

OH 5586 · PHL → DAY

departs 7:19 PM ET · arrives 9:25 PM ET

Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 38h before departure

Arrive at DAY more than 15 minutes late?

13% chance · ±1 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DAY?

On time or early
86%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ 7pm departures from PHL are often late

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at PHL

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

PHL (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling4,333 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

DAY (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5586 · PHL → DAY

Odds over time

How late will it get to DAY?