Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

PSA · FLIGHT OH 5626 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

OH 5626 · MSY → PHL

departs 6:10 AM CT · arrives 10:06 AM ET

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure

Arrive at PHL more than 15 minutes late?

15% chance · ±0 pts +4 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late will it get to PHL?

On time or early
83%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
<1%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.2 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MSY that day

↑ OH's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 16% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ Arrivals into PHL at that hour are usually not late

Weather at each end

MSY (origin) Gusts30 kt Ceiling1,100 ft Visibility0.75 mi Precip1.90 in

PHL (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.02 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5626 · MSY → PHL

Odds over time

How late will it get to PHL?