OH 5639 · MOB → DFW

departs 5:55 PM CT · arrives 7:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure

Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?

63% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.

How late will it get to DFW?

On time or early
34%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
26%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
23%
Cancelled
8%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 733 ft, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at MOB that day

↑ Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

MOB (origin) Gusts13 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.73 in

DFW (destination) Gusts13 kt Ceiling400 ft Visibility2 mi Precip0.31 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OH 5639 · MOB → DFW

Odds over time

How late will it get to DFW?