Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3078
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 3078 · PDX → SEA
departs 12:03 PM PT · arrives 1:03 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Fri 10/2 17%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 21%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
16%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
16%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Leave PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed – in 24h
–
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at SEA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SEA?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
SEA is prone to delays
↑
Other factors
↑
Cloud base down to 300 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PDX
↓
Arrivals into SEA at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
PDX (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 1,900 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip none
SEA (destination)
Gusts 12 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.