Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3081 LANDED 11:46 AM MT, ~16 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

OO 3081 · SAN → BZN

took off 8:25 AM PT · landed 11:46 AM MT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 10h after departure

Arrive at BZN more than 15 minutes late?

26% chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ SAN is prone to delays

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ This flight has been late 22% of the time recently

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at BZN

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

Weather at each end

SAN (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility8 mi Precipnone

BZN (destination) Gusts8 kt Ceiling11,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3081 · SAN → BZN

Odds over time