Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3093
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 3093 · BUR → STS
departs 3:19 PM PT · arrives 4:55 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 3:00 AM ET · 63h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 23%
Fri 10/2 23%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
20%
chance · ±1 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
20%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
4.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed – in 24h
–
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Leave BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed – in 24h
–
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
1%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
STS is prone to delays
↑
BUR is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at STS that day
↓
This flight has been late 11% of the time recently
Weather at each end
BUR (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.4 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.