Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3098
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 3098 · MSO → PDX
departs 5:41 PM MT · arrives 6:16 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 11:00 PM ET · 45h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 14%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 14%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±1 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
4.9d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave MSO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at PDX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PDX?
On time or early
89%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
2%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
MSO is prone to delays
↑
Arrivals into PDX at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MSO
↓
OO's recent on-time record
Weather at each end
MSO (origin)
Gusts 6 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PDX (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 0.8 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.