Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3249
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Tomorrow
OO 3249 · AUS → SAN
departs 7:59 PM CT · arrives 9:13 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 30h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.0d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from AUS are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 700 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into SAN at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.13 in
SAN (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.