Schedule: a typical Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3410
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3
OO 3410 · SEA → STS
departs 8:44 PM PT · arrives 10:51 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Fri 10/2 20%
Sat 10/3
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±2 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
5.1d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at STS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave SEA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed – in 24h
–
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at STS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to STS?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
8pm departures from SEA are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↑
SEA is busy at that time
↓
Cloud base down to 200 ft forecast at SEA that day
↓
Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 0.4 mi forecast at STS that day
Weather at each end
SEA (origin)
Gusts 13 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
STS (destination)
Gusts 8 kt Ceiling 100 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.