Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3612
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
OO 3612 · AUS → AVL
departs 12:42 PM CT · arrives 4:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 8h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at AVL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AVL?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at AVL that day
↑
12pm departures from AUS are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
AVL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
AVL (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.