Schedule: a typical summer Saturday (the flights of Jul 25, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3612
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Saturday, October 3 Yesterday
OO 3612 · AVL → AUS
departs 5:13 PM ET · arrives 7:12 PM CT
Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave AVL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 1 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at AVL that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at AUS that day
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↓
Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
AVL (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 1.25 mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.