Tracked live by the FAA, but its flight plan was first seen after takeoff, so we don't know the scheduled time and can't say whether it's late.

SKYWEST · FLIGHT OO 3695 LANDED 8:32 PM PT, ~8 MIN LATE · SCHEDULED TIME UNKNOWN

Saturday, October 3 Yesterday

OO 3695 · SEA → SNA

took off 6:12 PM PT · landed 8:32 PM PT (scheduled time unknown)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure

Arrive at SNA more than 15 minutes late?

39% chance · ±2 pts +20 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ 6pm departures from SEA are often late

↑ SEA is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SNA

↓ Cloud base down to 100 ft, visibility down to 2.5 mi forecast at SEA that day

Weather at each end

SEA (origin) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

SNA (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3695 · SEA → SNA

Odds over time