OO 3764 · YVR → SEA

took off 4:07 PM PDT · landed 4:46 PM PT (scheduled 3:32 PM PDT → 4:31 PM PT)

Forecast issued Sat 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure

Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?

Late chance · ±0 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.

How late did it get to SEA?

RESOLVED

On time or early
–
15–30 min late
✓
30 min–1 hour late
–
1–2 hours late
–
Over 2 hours late
–

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ OO's recent on-time record

↑ Arrivals into SEA at that hour are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at YVR

↓ Saturdays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ 3pm departures from YVR are usually not late

Weather at each end

YVR (origin) Gusts— Ceiling— Visibility— Precip—

SEA (destination) Gusts9 kt Ceiling100 ft Visibility2.5 mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

OO 3764 · YVR → SEA

Odds over time

How late did it get to SEA?